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Status Analysis and Prospect Forecast of China's CNC Machine Tool Industry in 2018

CNC machine tools are digital control machine tools and are automatic machine tools equipped with a program control system. According to the different performances and grades of CNC machine tools, CNC machine tools can be divided into high-end CNC machine tools, mid-range CNC machine tools, and low-end CNC machine tools. High-end CNC machine tools refer to CNC machine tools that have high-speed, precision, intelligence, compound, multi-axis linkage, network communication, and other functions.

As the "mother of industry," machine tools are a symbol of the level of manufacturing in a country. CNC machine tools were invented by the American inventor John Parsons in the last century. With the development of electronic information technology, the world machine tool industry has entered the era of mechatronics with digital manufacturing technology as its core, among which CNC machine tools are one of the representative products. CNC machine tool is a kind of high-efficiency, automatic machine tool equipped with a program control system, which can better solve the complex, precise, small batch, multi-variety parts processing problems, and represents the development direction of modern machine tool control technology.

Industrialized countries such as Europe, the United States, and Japan have completed the industrialization of CNC machine tools, and China started from the 1980s and is now in the development stage. Although China's foundry machine tool industry has achieved certain results, it still faces many constraints. Compared with foreign products, the gap between Chinese CNC machine tools is mainly due to the high-speed, high-efficiency and precision of machine tools.

The market scale of CNC machine tools is high, exceeding RMB 300 billion in 2017

From the perspective of China's CNC machine tool market, benefit from the rapid development of China's auto, aerospace, shipbuilding, power equipment, construction machinery and other industries, which have generated great demand for the machine tool market, especially CNC machine tools, and the CNC machine tool industry has grown rapidly. According to statistics, in 2014-2016, the sales revenue of CNC machine tools in China exceeded RMB 240 billion. In 2016, the sales of CNC machine tools in China were 2732 million yuan and 7.69% year-on-year. In 2017, sales were approximately 3,060 million yuan and exceeded 300 billion yuan for the first time.

Downstream applications are still dominated by the automotive industry, consumer electronics will become the mainstream market in the future

From the perspective of the downstream consumer demand of the CNC machine tool industry, the automobile is the main downstream demand area, with consumption accounting for about 42%; followed by aerospace, the proportion of consumption is about 18%; molds and engineering machinery are respectively the third and the third of CNC machinery. The fourth consumer sector accounts for about 15% and 10% respectively.

In the future, with the gradual popularization of smart phones, the acceleration of replacement speed, the promotion and development of 3C industry terminal devices such as tablet PCs and wearable devices and consumer electronics products, the 3C industry will usher in the spring of development, and the consumer electronics industry. The products will become the new growth point of the industry, and will strongly promote the development of light cutting CNC machine tools applied in this field.

The contradictory upgrade of the demand structure of CNC machine tools and the low localization rate of high-end products

In recent years, there has been a clear contradiction between supply and demand in the CNC machine tool industry in China, which is mainly reflected in the overcapacity of low-grade CNC machine tools and the lack of supply of high-end CNC machine tools, leading to structural imbalances on the supply side. As the low-end CNC machine tool industry has a low threshold and enters many enterprises, and in recent years, the effective demand for the low-end CNC machine tool market has been insufficient, excess capacity has appeared in this area; on the other hand, with the development of the national economy and the upgrading of industrial structure, high-grade The application of CNC machine tools is becoming more and more popular, and the demand for products is getting bigger and bigger, but the supply is difficult to meet the demand.

Due to the late start of China's high-end CNC machine tools, domestic production capacity can not meet domestic demand, and most domestic high-end CNC machine tools rely on imports. In 2016, CNC machine tools specifically supported the research and development of high-end numerical control systems and have accumulated more than 1,000 sets of sales. The domestic market share has increased from less than 1% before the special launch to about 5%. In 2017, the localization rate of high-end CNC machine tools in China was about 6 About % is still small. However, from the perspective of demand, the demand for high-end CNC machine tools in China has reached about 10% in 2013, and it is about 15-20% in 2017, which is quite different from the localization rate of 6%.

At present, China's manufacturing industry urgently needs to change from a "manufacturing power" to a "manufacturing power." After several decades of development, China's CNC machine tools industry has become the world's largest producer and seller of products. The rapid development of technology and production capacity has already provided the basis for responding to the national manufacturing transformation. In the future, the demand for CNC machine tools in China will shift from middle to low to high-end, in other words, high-end CNC. The machine tool will have a larger import substitution space.

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